Strategy

The Rise of Advantage Play

From Lenny Frome's pioneering strategies to Bob Dancer's high-stakes technical play—how mathematicians turned gambling into a beatable science.

The Rise of Advantage Play and Authors

The history of video poker is distinct from slot machines due to a critical element: skill. This single factor allowed for the development of Advantage Play (AP)—mathematically derived strategies that could tip the odds in the player's favor.

The Pioneer: Lenny Frome

Lenny Frome laid the foundation for video poker strategy in the 1970s and 1980s. A mathematician and actuary, Frome applied rigorous analysis to calculate the first strategies for Jacks or Better.

His work established the fundamental truth: video poker could be solved. Unlike slot machines, where outcomes were opaque, video poker's use of a standard 52-card deck meant every probability could be calculated.

The 1990s Technical Refinement

Dan Paymar

Dan Paymar advanced Frome's work with more sophisticated analysis:

  • Identified subtle "penalty card" situations
  • Created more accurate strategy tables
  • Published extensively on optimal play
  • Refined bankroll management concepts
  • The Software Revolution

    The rise of personal computing enabled a new era of analysis. Stanford Wong and Dean Zamzow led the software revolution:

    WinPoker and Video Poker for Winners

    These programs allowed players to:

  • Generate Exception-Based Strategies for any paytable
  • Practice until they achieved perfect accuracy
  • Analyze the impact of penalty cards
  • Calculate exact expected values for any situation
  • For the first time, perfect play was achievable for dedicated students of the game.

    The Golden Age: Dancer and Scott

    The late 1990s and early 2000s represented a "Golden Age" of Advantage Play, led by two distinct but complementary figures.

    Bob Dancer: The Technical Master

    Bob Dancer exemplified high-stakes technical play:

  • Pursued perfect strategy with relentless precision
  • Documented his journey to becoming a video poker millionaire
  • Published influential books and strategy guides
  • Became the public face of professional video poker
  • Dancer proved that the mathematics worked in practice, not just theory. His success inspired thousands to study the game seriously.

    Jean Scott: The Frugal Gambler

    Jean Scott demonstrated a different path to advantage:

  • Focused on maximizing comps and promotions
  • Combined game RTP with casino incentives
  • Showed how to achieve total returns exceeding 100%
  • Made AP accessible to recreational players
  • Scott's approach recognized that the game extended beyond the machine—the entire casino ecosystem could be exploited.

    The Total Return Equation

    The Scott approach revealed a powerful truth: a 99.54% game becomes profitable when combined with casino incentives:

    ComponentTypical ValueBase Game RTP99.54%Slot Club Points+0.25%Cashback+0.20%Promotions+0.10-0.50%Total Return100.09-100.49%

    The Over 100% Machines

    Some machines offered inherent advantages:

  • Full Pay Deuces Wild: 100.76% RTP
  • 10/7 Double Bonus: 100.17% RTP
  • These "Full Pay" archetypes returned more than wagered over an infinite timeline, provided perfect play. Casinos hosted them as loss leaders, knowing recreational players made enough errors to ensure profitability.

    The Industry Reaction

    The rise of advantage play triggered countermeasures:

    Paytable Tightening

    Casinos systematically reduced payouts:

  • 9/6 Jacks became 8/5, then 7/5, then 6/5
  • Full pay machines grew increasingly rare
  • Even Las Vegas locals' casinos reduced offerings
  • Variable-State Games

    New games like Ultimate X introduced complexity:

  • Multipliers that carried between hands
  • Strategies that changed based on game state
  • Increased variance that punished short sessions
  • Player Tracking

    Sophisticated analytics allowed casinos to:

  • Identify skilled players
  • Track individual RTP achieved
  • Restrict promotions to advantage players
  • Adjust comps based on theoretical win
  • Legacy

    The Advantage Play era demonstrated that with sufficient knowledge and discipline, the gambler could become the house. While casinos have adapted, the fundamental principle remains: video poker rewards skill, and those who master it can compete on more favorable terms than in any other casino game.